Wave analysis and forecast for 30.06 – 07.07: Downtrend continues.

Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.3203.

Analysis: Supposedly, a descending impetus continues to develop within the 4-hour time frame in a form of the first wave i of C. Apparently, the third wave of junior level (iii) continues to form locally. If this assumption is correct, then after completion of the upward correction (iv) the pair can continue to decline to 1.2800. Critical level for this scenario is 1.3203..

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price above the level of 1.3203 will trigger further rise in price to 1.3560.