USD/JPY Wave analysis and forecast of 13.03 – 20.03

USD/JPY Wave analysis and forecast of 13.03 – 20.03: The pair is expected to continue growth.

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Estimated pivot point is at a level of 120.50.

Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above a level of 120.50 with a target at 122.85 – 124.0. Sell the pair with the target at 118.20 in case the level 120.50 is broken.

Alternative scenario: Breakdown and consolidation below the level of 120.24 will allow the pair to continue declining to a level of 118.20.

Analysis: The formation of the fifth wave under long-term bullish impetus is going on. Locally, the third wave (iii) of v continues to develop. If this assumption is correct and the price does not break the critical level 120.50, the pair will continue to rise to the levels at 122.85 – 124.0 within an upward trend.

USDJPY-D1

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USDJPY-H4

AUD/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 13.03 – 20.03

AUD/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 13.03 – 20.03: Bearish long-term trend continues.

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Estimated pivot point is at a level of 0.7858.
Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 0.7858 with a target at 0.7480 – 0.74. In case of breakdown and consolidation above a level of 0.7846, buy the pair with a target at 0.8026.

Alternative scenario: Breakdown and consolidation above the level of 0.7858 will allow the pair to continue the rise up to the levels of 0.80 – 0.82.

Analysis: The AUD continues to fall.
The fifth wave of a long-term bearish impetus continues to develop on the daily time-frame. According to the formed wave structure, we can suppose that only the third wave (3) is nearing completion. If this assumption is correct and the price does not break the critical level 0.7858, it’s logical to expect the pair to drop to the levels 0.7480 – 0.74 within the third wave 5 of (3).

AUDUSD-H1

 

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AUDUSD-H4

AUDUSD-D1

GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 13.03 – 20.03

GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 13.03 – 20.03: Downtrend continues.

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Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.4905.

Our opinion: In the short term: buy the pair with the target at 1.52 in case the level 1.4905 is broken. In the medium term: keep short positions with a target at 1.46 – 1.45.

Alternative scenario: Consolidation above a level of 1.5150 will allow the pair to continue the rise up to the level of 1.52 as part of correction.

Analysis: The pair continued to decline.
The critical level has been broken down and, apparently, a long-term bearish impetus carries on forming. Supposedly, the fifth final wave, within which the first wave (i) is nearing completion, is forming at the present time. If the assumption is correct, local correction in a form of wave (ii) is likely to develop to a level of 1.52. The level of 1.5560 at which the fourth wave iv finishes is critical in this scenario.

GBPUSD-D1

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GBPUSD-H1

GBPUSD-H4

EUR/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 13.03 – 20.03

EUR/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 13.03 – 20.03: The pair continues to decline.

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Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.0640.

Our opinion: In the short term: buy the pair with the target at 1.0730 – 1.0870 once the level of 1.0640 is broken down. In the medium term: keep short positions with a target at 1.04.

Alternative scenario: Breakdown of the level 1.0640 and consolidation above will allow the pair to continue the rise up to levels 1.0730 – 1.0870 as part of local correction.

Analysis: The fifth final wave continues to develop within bearish trend. Supposedly, the third wave of junior level (iii) has finished and local correction in a form of fourth wave (iv) starts to develop. If the presumption is correct, after correction, the pair will continue to decline to the level at 1.04.

EURUSD-H4

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EURUSD-H1

USD/СAD Wave analysis and forecast of 27.02 – 06.03

USD/СAD Wave analysis and forecast of 27.02 – 06.03: The pair is expected to grow.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.2358.

Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above a level of 1.2358 with the target of 1.29 – 1.30. In case of breakdown and consolidation below the level of 1.2358, the selling target can be set at 1.22 – 1.20.

Alternative scenario: Breakdown and consolidation below the level of 1.2358 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.22 – 1.20.

Analysis: The development of local correction in a form of triangular fourth wave (iv) is nearing completion. Apparently, the final wave e of (iv) is forming locally. If this assumption is correct and the price does not break the critical level 1.2368, the pair will resume growth within an upward trend.

USDCAD-H1

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USDCAD-H4

USD/JPY Wave analysis and forecast of 27.02 – 06.03

USD/JPY Wave analysis and forecast of 27.02 – 06.03: The pair is expected to grow.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 117.00.

Our opinion: Buy the pair from corrections above a level of 117.00 with a target at 123.50. Sell the pair with the target of 115.00 – 114.00 in case the level 117.00 is broken down.

Alternative scenario: Breakdown and consolidation below a level of 117.00 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels 115.00 – 114.00.

Analysis: The formation of the fifth wave under long-term bullish impetus is going on. Apparently, a counter-trend impetus in a form of first wave (i) has formed locally, and correction is developing within the wave (ii) that has not developed yet. If this assumption is correct and the price does not break the critical level 117.00, after correction the pair will continue to rise to the level of 123.50 within an upward trend.

USDJPY-D1

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USDJPY-H4

AUD/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 27.02 – 06.03

AUD/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 27.02 – 06.03: Pair is under correction with probability of growth.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 0.7645.
Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above a level of 0.7645 with a target at 0.8060 – 0.8160. In case of breakdown and consolidation below the level of 0.7645, the selling target can be set at 0.75 – 0.7450.

Alternative scenario: Breakdown and consolidation below the level of 0.7645 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels 0.75 – 0.7450.

Analysis: Presumably, the third wave continues to develop. Within it formed the first wedge-shaped wave of junior level (i) of iii. Correction within wave (ii) has started locally. If this assumption is correct and the price does not break the critical level of 0.7645, the pair will continue to rise to the levels 0.8060-0.8160 after correction.

AUDUSD-D1

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AUDUSD-H4

GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 27.02 – 06.03

GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 27.02 – 06.03: The pair is under correction.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.5550.

Our opinion: In the short term: sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.5550 with a target at 1.52. In the medium term, wait for correction to complete and buy the pair in the presence of confirming signals.

Alternative scenario: Consolidation above a level of 1.5550 will allow the pair to continue the rise up to levels 1.56 – 1.58.

Analysis: Presumably, the development of the first wave а of 2 under big bullish correction is completed. Correction in a form of wave b of 2 is forming locally, in a form of irregular flat surface. If the presumption is correct, after correction, the pair will logically continue to rise to the levels 1.58 – 1.60.

GBPUSD-D1

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GBPUSD-H4

EUR/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 27.02 – 06.03

EUR/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 27.02 – 06.03: Downtrend persists.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.1380.

Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below a level of 1.1380 with a target at 1.0950 – 1.09. Buy the pair with a target at 1.1760 in case the level 1.1380 is broken.

Alternative scenario: Breakdown of the level 1.1380 and consolidation above will allow the pair to continue the rise up to levels 1.1760 – 1.18.

Analysis: The development of a long-term bearish impetus is still going on. Within its borders, the fifth final wave is nearing completion. Apparently, the third wave of junior level (iii) of v is forming. If this assumption is correct, the pair will continue declining to a level of 1.0950. The level 1.1534. is critical in this scenario.

EURUSD-H4

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EURUSD-D1

USD/СAD Wave analysis and forecast of 20.02 – 27.02

USD/СAD Wave analysis and forecast of 20.02 – 27.02: The pair is expected to grow.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.2358.

Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above a level of 1.2358 with the target of 1.29 – 1.30. In case of breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.2358, the selling target can be set at 1.22 – 1.20.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below a level of 1.2358 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.22 – 1.20.

Analysis: Presumably, local correction in a form of fourth wave (iv) is completed and currently has a shape of a flat surface. Locally, the fifth wave (v) of iii of junior level has apparently started developing. If this assumption is correct, the pair will continue to grow to 1.29 – 1.30. The level 1.2358 is critical in this scenario.

USDCAD-D1

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USDCAD-H4

USD/JPY Wave analysis and forecast of 20.02 – 27.02

USD/JPY Wave analysis and forecast of 20.02 – 27.02: The pair is expected to grow.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 116.80.

Our opinion: Buy above a level of 116.80 with a target at 123.50. Sell the pair with the target at 111.65 in case the level 116.80 is broken.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 116.80 will allow the pair to continue declining to a level of 111.65.

Analysis: The formation of the fifth wave under long-term bullish impetus is going on. Apparently, a counter-trend impetus in a form of first wave (i) along with correction (ii) have formed locally. If this assumption is correct and the price does not break the critical level 116.80, the pair will continue to rise to a level of 123.50 within an upward trend.

USDJPY-H4

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USDJPY-D1