Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (August 4 – 8, 2014)‏

Here’s the market outlook for this week:

Dominant bias: Bearish
This pair has continued its southward journey with price breaking below the resistance line at 1.3400. This level is a war zone between bulls and bears, so price will be making some attempts to get back above it. Should the initial resistance line get broken and price moves up, another resistance line at 1.3450 will act as a secondary hurdle for the bulls, so any break above 1.3450 will pose a serious threat to the bearish trend. Meanwhile, the bearish trend seems likely to continue, pushing price towards the support lines at 1.3350 and 1.3300.

Dominant bias: Bullish
As forecast last week, USD/CHF was able to test the resistance level at 0.9100. This is an area where some bulls will want to take profits, as price ought to drop at least some way from there. For the bullish journey to continue, price needs to break that resistance level, going towards another resistance level at 0.9150. If this fails to occur, a near-term or medium-term bearish run is likely to begin.

Dominant bias: Bearish
Cable dropped by about 120 pips this week, and the bearish outlook is currently strong – forming a clean Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the chart. This means a high probability of price continuing even further downwards, testing the accumulation territories at 1.6850 and 1.6800 respectively – especially with the distribution territories at 1.6950 and 1.7000 acting as impediment to any rallies along the way.

Dominant bias: Bullish
The Greenback is strong, so it is no wonder that USD/JPY rallied – especially in the face of Yen weakness. This market has tested the supply level at 103.00, which must be broken before any serious northward movement can continue. However, some deep pullbacks towards the demand levels at 102.50 and 102.00 are possible.

Dominant bias: Bullish
EUR itself is not that strong but, as a result of exponential weakness in JPY, EUR/JPY has been able to reject its recent bearish bias, paving way for a new bullish signal. As long as price stays above the demand zone at 137.00, a bullish signal will make sense, and price could then even go up towards the supply zone at 138.00.

I’d like to conclude this forecast with the following quote: